Tag Archives: new zealand real estate review 2020

Auckland Real Estate Market Begins 2021 On A High Note

auckland real estate

The Auckland Real Estate market left investors and buyers spoilt for choices 2020, begins on a high note in 2021.

The real estate market in Auckland witnessed booming business in March 2020. This came as a welcome decision on the heels of the New Zealand’s effort to uphold financial fair play. A further promise of a cash infusion of $4 billion, by the Government to bolster housing market, seems to have worked wonders on real estate consumers. As a result of these decisions, the end of the previous fiscal year saw trading numbers in the Auckland real estate market reach an all-time high. Buyers and investors alike looked to make the most of the inventory. The market was generous in-kind towards investors; with an impressive number of listings being made available due to popular demand.

A tale of broken records and profitable numbers

Auckland’s biggest real estate firm reported a sale of 1844 properties in March alone, with a total of 2138 new properties (a new record in 15 years!) in their listings for the month. The March sales number for them is an astounding 68.2% spike up from the sales number of 1096 in March, last year. It is also a 64.1% step up from the 1124 properties sold in February, this year; which allowed the agency in question to sell a whopping 4054 units of property in the final quarter of the FY 2020-21/ calendar year 2021- breaking their record numbers from the same quarter in 2015, by a third!

It must be noted, that the profits are not limited to the inspiring sales numbers alone. The aforementioned agency reported that the average sale value of each unit was calculated at a cool $1,107,869, which was a 3% and 11% jump from the average property sale value in February 2021, and March 2020, respectively. They further reported a promising median price of $1,048,000- an increment of 3.8% and 13.3% over the median value in February 2021, and March 2020, respectively.

Factors motivating a profitable Auckland Real Estate Market

The Auckland property market has quite the reputation for commendable feats. But, March was an unexpectedly profitable month for Auckland’s real estate agencies, due to several factors.

Firstly, the NZ Government recently announced that they are doubling the Brightline Test duration. As per expert claims, this along with the Government’s other policy reforms that focused on real estate trading fanned the Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) among buyers. This drove actual sales statistics from the Auckland real estate market, well beyond the projections.

Secondly, easygoing financing policies are enabling investors to go after prime properties in their cross-hair, regardless of how competitive demand is driving up the price. This has been an immediate effect of the Prime Minister enforcing lenient taxing rules. For example, a three-bedroom bungalow in Greenlane, Auckland, was auctioned at $5.98 million, about $2.6 million above the local council valuation. With low borrowing interests in the works, investors are racing each other for the best listings. This has been a major contributor to the jump in the median value of home property in Auckland.

Thirdly, quality residential housing at a good location and easy financing terms allowed a lot of first-time buyers to take the crucial step and cash in their nest egg. Buyer demand has therefore steadily contributed to the growth in property prices, as well as new listings on the market. Buyer demand is producing strong numbers with the pandemic situation well under control in New Zealand. Agencies have reported decent investor turnouts at open homes, well into late February. Interest from offshore customers in the Auckland real estate market has also been solemn.

Fourthly, the cumulative positive factors have got the investors and first-time buyers splurging on all kinds of property assets. FOMO has investors and buyers focusing on ‘dungers’ and lifestyle blocks that would otherwise escape the attention of the speculators. Thanks to the speculative demand, agencies are offloading these property types which would not sell as fast in the past, at higher prices.

As demonstrated by the aforementioned figures, major urban centers are depicting strong gains in asset value thanks to buyer interest; and also due to investors competing with each other for entry-level assets. Rural and semi-rural locations have also exhibited a steady addition of new listings, as well as purchase and investment activity.

How does the market look for the next quarter?

The policies introduced by the Government may impact a section of the buyer investors, but it will be sometime later in the next financial quarter of the calendar year when the full ramifications take effect. The policies are meant to make the market fairer towards first-time buyers than investment agencies who are known to easily outbid the former. The immediate effect of the policy reforms is, however, positive- as owner-occupier’s interest in typical housing categories, such as apartments is at an all-time high. A definitely positive outcome of the governmental reforms.

It is interesting to note that the reinforcement of loan-to-value ratios and limits on interest-only lending, has not been able to dampen the real estate market activity in the city. The Auckland real estate market still depicts sufficient investor activity as of now, even though the investors may no longer claim mortgage interests as tax-deductible, and taxing periods for profits from the sale of investment property are doubled.

It can also be safely concluded that Auckland will need to increase its construction supply, to meet the demands of this hungry buyer’s and investor’s market. It seems the policy reforms will it will only slow the hike in housing prices by a little, rather than causing any actual decrement in the price or investor activity.

Best Performing New Zealand Suburbs in the 2020 & Real Estate Market Outlook 2021

Real Estate Market Outlook 2021

The new year came bearing great beginnings for property owners in New Zealand, with a noticeable uptick in capital values. As per latest industry research reports, the property owners of Herne Bay occupy the top of the pyramid with a median value of $2,681,650. Kawerau also boasts of the highest five-year change in median values- a magnificent 200.7%. Outer Kaiti, Gisborne also impressed with the highest 12-month change in median value. However, these localities were not alone in their fortune. Reports confirm that even the lowest-performing areas still clocked in decent values in their market performance metric.

Which suburbs performed the best?

Auckland now stands at 117 suburbs that have a median property value of $1 million, at the very least. Median property values in Mount Maunganui witnessed a rise to $1.01 million, as well, which meant Tauranga gets to be a part of the $1m+ collective too. Wellington and Christchurch also boast of twelve and four $1m+ suburbs, respectively.

There has been a slew of new entrants to the million-dollar club, and best of all, not all of them even conform to the trend of being a main center suburb; case in hand, Gisborne in Outer Kaiti, which has demonstrated a 39.7% increase (to $335, 900). The top four suburbs with the highest median values, in fact, are all located in Gisborne. At least 46 suburbs have demonstrated an increase in their median value by $100,00, and 33 of them are located in Auckland alone.

2021 Real Estate Market Outlook

If the pre-lockdown sales records are to be taken as an indicator, the signs of strengthening prices were always there- falling mortgage rates, dropping property asset inventory numbers, etc. The Government played its part with generous cash infusions in the form of wage subsidies; and, the Reserve Bank sanctioned delayed capital requirements, omission of loan to value ratio rules, quantitative easing, etc. Trading institutions allowed mortgage payment deferrals as well.

Auckland

  • Herne Bay comes out on top as the highest-priced median property value of $2.68m;
  • Auckland Central projects lowest median value at $548,000;
  • 3 suburbs clock a median value <$600,000;
  • 117 suburbs at $1m, at least;
  • and four at least $2m;
  • The suburbs of Shamrock Park and Manurewa East project the highest value appreciation 13.9% and 11.4%, respectively;
  • Shamrock Park’s median values rose by almost $231,000, the largest rise in dollar terms
  • More than 30 suburbs witnessed a median value rise by at least $100,000 in 2020.

Hamilton

  • Harrowfield projects highest median property value of $899,700;
  • Flagstaff closes in at second place with $863,400;
  • Bader is the cheapest ($461,550);
  • Deanwell witnessed the highest value spike with 15.2%, followed by 7 more suburbs with double-digit value increment.
  • Queenwood scored the highest dollar gain with $80,200; and,
  • Whitiora, the smallest gain, at $21,550.

Tauranga

  • Mount Maunganui is the most expensive suburb at$1.01m;
  • Parkvale is the cheapest at $523,150;
  • Matua witnessed a 3% value hike and had the largest dollar gain, at $102,600.

Wellington (covering Wellington City, Porirua, Lower Hutt, Upper Hutt)

  • Seatoun is the priciest suburb around wider Wellington, at $1.50m. There are 12 +$1m suburbs, and only two with values less than $500,000;
  • Each suburb has seen values rise in the past year, with the top being Totara Park, with a rise of 22.7%. Three suburbs have seen a dollar rise of at least $100,000 in the past year, including Totara Park, Kelson, and Riverstone Terraces.

Christchurch

  • Scarborough is the highest-grossing suburb with $1.20m;
  • Phillipstown, the cheapest, at $304,850;
  • There are four +$1m suburbs in total, in Christchurch;
  • North New Brighton depicted 7.9% growth and Westmorland the largest in dollar terms $30,700.

Dunedin

  • Maori Hill is the costliest suburb $867,900; and, the highest dollar gain at $104,350.
  • South Dunedin, the cheapest, at $373,550- the only sub-$400,000 suburb;
  • Every suburb has exhibited double-digit hikes with Liberton scoring 22.6%;

What’s in store for 2021?

2020 closed with transactions range between 85000-90000 property units- which is on par with the long-term average. The positive factors have ousted the predictions of average property values dropping by 15-20%, and indicate firmly to at least a 10% hike. The present market trends are bound to continue for at least the first half of the year, with stricter regulatory measures possibly kicking in later 2021.

Extensions for the Brightline Test, a capital gains tax for investors selling under five years, and debt-to-income ratios for new mortgages are on the horizon. The prospective Loan-to-Value-ratio speed limit is due to be in action by March 1st; while it may not affect all owner-occupiers, some investors will now have to find a 30% deposit instead of 20%. Market momentum can push the investor deposit requirements further up.

The wage subsidies and mortgage deferrals are less of a worry for now. Lower-than-projected unemployment rates and mortgage deferrals also make the market favorable for now. Thus, projections indicate a further increase in property value by another 15-20%.

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