NZ Recession: Brace for Impact on Housing Market
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By Vikram Jethwani 27th Jun, 2024
New Zealand’s recent recession declaration has homeowners and aspiring buyers worried about the housing market’s future. Experts warn of potential consequences and offer guidance for navigating this uncertain time.
Recession’s Ripple Effect
Recessions, a natural part of the economic cycle, often follow periods of significant growth. The current situation can be viewed as a correction of the housing market’s rapid rise, where property values skyrocketed in some areas.
Price Adjustments Ahead
Experts predict a further decline in property values, potentially reaching 10-15% on top of previous dips. This aligns with the concept of a “healthy” property market, which typically experiences growth of only 2-4%. The recent surge was simply unsustainable.
Affordability Concerns
The affordability crisis remains a major issue. Wages haven’t kept pace with inflated property values, leading to a potential downward spiral where declining property values become necessary for market correction.
Weathering the Storm
Here are some crucial tips for navigating the recession:
- Build a Financial Buffer:Cut unnecessary expenses and create a financial safety net to weather potential economic hardship.
- Strategic Selling:If holding onto a property with a high mortgage becomes a burden, selling before further decline might be a wise decision.
- Don’t Be Swayed by Price Drops:While lower prices might seem attractive, avoid impulsive purchases solely based on cost. Remember, a slow recovery is likely.
A Long Road to Stability
It could take 6-12 months for the market to reach its bottom, followed by a gradual recovery at a more sustainable pace.
Seeking the Right Guidance
It’s important to critically evaluate information sources. Some media outlets and industry professionals might have vested interests that could influence their advice.
The Bottom Line
New Zealand’s recession will likely impact the housing market with property value declines. By staying informed, financially prepared, and exercising caution, homeowners and potential buyers can navigate this challenging market. Remember, seeking professional advice tailored to your specific situation is crucial during uncertain times.
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